Backdraft, the story of firefighters in Chicago who seek the identity of a serial arsonist who fires are taking the lives of their colleagues, is one of those Ron Howard movies in which, despite an all-star cast, the real stars of the film are the sound and visual effects craftsmen (in fact, Backdrafts three Academy Award nominations were in those very categories). Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Zero industry support (well, at least Rex has LAFCA), Cooper Hoffman is only possible in a scenario where the Academy goes insane for Licorice Pizza, Mahershala Ali may be the industry undercover, after all, he was able to get a BAFTA mention without any buzz or hype surrounding his movie. Still think theres a pathway for Cumberbatch to win this. This award often goes to a short with star power, so youd be wise to pick Riz Ahmeds The Long Goodbye. But two other entries pack a more complete punch: the dystopian satire Please Hold and The Dress, about a woman with dwarfism considering a potential romance. We keep updating these predictions through the awards season, so keep checking, 'Deadpool 3' Begins Filming in London This Spring, Hugh Jackman Teases More Than One Wolverine In Deadpool 3. Adorable. In an era in which current newspaper dramas are based on historical events (Spotlight, The Post), its refreshing to look back at a film in which print journalism is the setting for what is essentially a workplace comedy/drama. &n", Gold Derby Film Awards Winners and Nominees (2003 Now), "HBO posting that clip on their official socials (IG story) is a ", 2023 Emmy Predictions: Drama Categories (Part 5), 2023 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress (Part 8). Below, I make my final Oscar predictions for winners in all 23 award categories. 2022 Oscars best picture predictions include "Belfast," "Dune," "King Richard," "Don't Look Up," "The Power of the Dog" and "Drive My Car" 2022 Oscars I need to hear the entire song, but maybe voters will finally be swayed by Bey (or the prospect of her facing off against Jay-Z, who has a tune in The Harder They Fall). That goes to Denzel Washington, Simon Rex or Andrew Garfield. DISCUSSAll the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums. The film follows Vance (played as a boy by Owen Asztalos and as a young man by Gabriel Basso) as he works his way up from a poor upbringing in the rust belt to Yale law school, all while dealing with his drug-addicted mother (Amy Adams). If CODA (adapted from the French film La Famille Blier) can win over a snobby bunch of British voters, theres no reason to think it will fall short with the academy. - Abbott Elementary Am I double-faulting with this confidence? The nomination round of voting took place from June 16 to June 27, with the official Emmy nominations announced on Tuesday, July 12. This article will be updated throughout the season, along with all our predictions, so make sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2022 As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Variety is a part of Penske Media Corporation. Watch the full ceremony here: Christopher Rosen: I think if you asked me before the season who would win this year, Id have picked Cooper. Is Brendan Fraser (The Whale) now the front-runner or is it still Austin Butler (Elvis)? Director: Ron Howard. Film. Oscars 2022 Predictions: Who Will Win Best Picture, Actor and Actress? Home Forums Movies Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actor (Part 12), FYC (Film): Take a trip back to the Academy Awards ceremonies of the recent past with Gold DerbysOscars Playbackseries. The most awarded films in Oscar history are Ben-Hur, Titanic and The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King at 11 statuettes. Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. The best actor Oscar rarely goes to young men, and bankable movie stars like Leonardo DiCaprio and Matthew McConaughey were only able to win it once they were on the other side of 40 and had paid an appropriate amount of dues. Writer: Lowell Ganz, Babaloo Mandel. Director: Ron Howard. Before this year, Chastain has been a double Oscar nominee for her roles in The Help and Zero Dark Thirty., It is surprising to find Chastain in GoldDerbys top spot right now as she has hardly won any major awards for her performance this year. Grand Theft Auto proved to be enough of a calling card for Howard to get his second film, the morgue-set comedy Night Shift, distributed by a major studio (Warner Bros.). The Masked Singer California Roll guesses: Pentatonix, Pitch Perfect cast, High School Musical cast ? By comparison, Brad Pitt was 56 when he won in 2020 for his featured performance in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. He joined a lucky 13 previous winners who were in their 50s when they took home the trophy. WebIndiewire. Kodi Smit-McPhee is the 16th performer to win both supporting actor honors from both the New York Film Critics Circle and the Los Angeles Film Critics Association. Vances bestselling memoir, even if the results are a mixed bag. Starring Steve Martin, Dianne Wiest, Mary Steenburgen, Jason Robards. FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn. The others are: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project (2017), Mahershala Ali, Moonlight (2016), J.K. Simmons, Whiplash (2014), Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club (2013), Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds (2009), William Hurt, A History of Violence (2005), Bill Murray, Rushmore (1998), Burt Reynolds, Boogie Nights (1997), Martin Landau, Ed Wood (1994), Gene Hackman, Unforgiven (1992), Morgan Freeman, Street Smart (1987), Jack Nicholson, Terms of Endearment (1983), John Lithgow, The World According to Garp (1982), John Gielgud, Arthur (1981) and Melvin Douglas, Being There (1979). Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Here Howard is reunited with his Night Shift breakout star Michael Keaton as a harried editor of a fictional big-city paper determined to solve the murder of two businessmen. Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. We will update all our Oscar predictions throughout the season, He also won a Golden Globe for Best Picture, although Howard lost the Best Director award to Robert Altman for Gosford Park.. The Spider-Man actor performed all of his songs despite not having much musical experience., RELATED:Andrew Garfield's 10 Best Movies, Ranked According To Metacritic. Oscar Experts Typing: Has Ben Affleck raised the Bar to Duel for Best Supporting Actor? The youngest winner is Timothy Hutton for his debut performance at 20 for Ordinary People, while Justin Henry is the youngest nominee ever at eight for Kramer vs. Kramer.. Woody Norman, Cmon Cmon Howard brings out strong performances from his cast, particularly Don Ameche, who won an Oscar for his performance. Dune is nominated for audible effects like sand crunching. Bruises, blunders and baffling decisions plague the orange tribe in Survivor 44 premiere, Survivor history is made as Shot in the Dark twist is finally used correctly, Survivor 44 episode 1 recap: Who was voted out in I Cant Wait to See Jeff? Is Being the Ricardos being underestimated? Nina Simone, as seen in Summer of Soul., Searchlight Pictures, via Associated Press, Reika Kirishima, left, and Hidetoshi Nishijima in Drive My Car., Benedict Cumberbatch, left, and Kodi Smit-McPhee in The Power of the Dog.. J.K. Simmons, Being the Ricardos, Possible Contenders (alphabetical) Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett face off one more time, Everything to know about 'The Voice' Season 23: Premiere date, coaches, Mega Mentor announced, Chris Williams ('The Sea Beast') on history being 'a cycle of aggression and a cycle of violence' [Exclusive Video Interview], 2023 Olivier Awards nominations: My Neighbour Toroto, Standing at the Skys Edge lead, Grandmaster Flash (The Masked Singer Polar Bear) unmasked interview: This show allows you to let your guard down and have fun, Poor Ratu! Thats why Smith is so perfectly situated: His two other nominations, for Ali and The Pursuit of Happyness, came when he was a superstar in his 30s, and now that he is a lightly grizzled 53-year-old who has proved himself over four decades, the timing is right for his first Academy Award win. Sam Rockwell, who won in 2018 for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri was the 30th, having picked up this prize eight months before he turned 50. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog, Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth. Will win: Troy Kotsur, CODA (Apple Original Films) And the stat for at least one first time nomine every year is insane. As with Ben Affleck with The Last Duel, I think a flashy role like Licorice Pizza can only help Coopers candidacy for Nightmare Alley. But even if he gets in, I have a hard time thinking he could beat Smith, let alone Washington or Cumberbatch. Writer: Bob Dolman. 1 pick has got to be Summer of Soul, the Questlove-directed documentary about the 1969 Harlem Cultural Festival. Hes also the youngest person to ever achieve the feat. With his warm and funny acceptance speeches at those ceremonies, Kotsur has become this seasons breakout performer, and the Oscars can surely count on him for a winning moment that is both heartfelt and historic, since Kotsur would be the first deaf man to earn an acting Oscar. Smit-McPhee was recognized by year-end critics groups for his performance as Kirsten Dunsts crafty son in The Power of the Dog, but once the televised awards shows began to weigh in, Kotsur cleaned up at SAG, the Indie Spirits and BAFTA. However, his chances of winning are lessened given how drama actors are more likely to win over those who star in musicals or comedies, as illustrated by GoldDerby's list of every Best Actor winner. - Colin Farrell, Kerry Condon, and Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin It may have been designed as a feature-film vehicle for his Happy Days co-star Henry Winkler, but once the public got a glimpse at Michael Keatons renegade Bill Blaze Blazejowski, that was the ball game. Eleven more men were in their 60s when they won Best Supporting Actor at the Academy Awards. Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog Should win: Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog (Netflix) ', Donnie Yen Called Out John Wick 4 and Rogue One Asian Stereotypes, Got Scripts Changed: Why Is the Name Always Shang or Chang, Chris Pine Admits It Did Look Like Harry Styles Spit on Me, but He Did Not: The Vitriol Against Dont Worry Darling Was Ridiculous, HBO's Leading Man: Casey Bloys on Perfecting 'The Last of Us,' HBO Max Streaming Merger and Axing Shows, A24 Sweeps Film Categories at the 2023 SAG Awards as 'Everything Everywhere All at Once' Breaks Record for Most Wins, Jean Smart 'Doing Well, Recovering' Following Heart Procedure, Says Hacks Co-Star Hannah Einbinder, Ke Huy Quan Becomes First Asian Male Film Winner at SAG Awards for 'Everything Everywhere All at Once'. Oscars 2022: Best Actor/Actress Nominees Ranked By Likelihood To Win, According To GoldDerby, 10 Highest-Ranked Movies On IMDb That Weren't Nominated For Best Picture At The Oscars, Andrew Garfield's 10 Best Movies, Ranked According To Metacritic, 10 Best Javier Bardem Movies (According To Rotten Tomatoes), Olivia Colman's Top 10 Movie & TV Roles, Ranked According To IMDb, 10 Best Oscar Best Picture Winners (According To Rotten Tomatoes), Chris Pratt Joins Luigi Actor To Troll Super Mario Bros. Movie Voice Critics, 7 Fairytale Princesses That Still Need Disney Adaptations. It gives me pause. Do you think this is a routine straight-set victory for the Fresh Prince? WebWarner Bros. We will update all our Oscar predictions throughout the season, so keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2023 Oscar race. &n", Gold Derby Film Awards Winners and Nominees (2003 Now), "HBO posting that clip on their official socials (IG story) is a ", 2023 Emmy Predictions: Drama Categories (Part 5). Mayhaps his golden ticket (#sorrynotsorry) is Wonka.. In a novel twist, this race has become a face-off between the best picture candidate with the most Oscar nominations (The Power of the Dog, with 12) and the one tied for the least (CODA, with just three). And thus our tale begins. Ive had Peter Dinklage and Andrew Garfield in those last two spots basically since Telluride. I do feel like times are changing in a good ", "strangemercy wrote: Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. I do feel like times are changing in a good ", "strangemercy wrote: Dune won at BAFTA and with the cinematographers guild, and its probably the safer choice. In an interesting year with a duel for the top award and some wide-open races, heres Jane Campion, right, with associate producer Phil Jones, during production. One of Howards most critically-acclaimed films, Apollo 13 focuses on Americas third mission to put a man on the moon, a mission that was fraught with potential disaster when, en route to the moon, an explosion on board imperiled the mission and threatened to take the lives of the astronauts in the capsule. Still, CODA has recently surged after key wins with the actors, writers and producers guilds, the sort of bounty that almost always points the way to best picture victory. Best Actor: Will Smith (King Richard) Spoiler: Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog) Bottom Line: This race is between two actors who give the performances of their careers. 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